Thursday, 7 May 2015

Beneath the Green-Hypes — Budget 2015: Some Questions

Photo Courtesy – V. V. Krishnan 
(http://www.thehindubusinessline.com)
May we put a caption here: 
Towards Bleak Future - Riding with a Myopic Driver!
A wide confusion has spread. In Business Standard we found, “In sync with Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s commitment on climate change, the government Saturday ramped up budget allocation a whopping sixteen-fold to boost India's mission to climate change and adaption, even as the overall allocation to the environment ministry was trimmed by four percent.” And several eminent persons started thinking that India, de-facto, has a Carbon Tax, as the budget increased coal-cess from Rs 100 a ton to Rs 200 a ton.
We saw newspapers devoted to Business and Economy writing story with such statements: “The government's commitment to control pollution finds explicit expression in the union budget with Rs.240.30 crore set aside for the cause, which is 148 percent higher... The secretariat-economic services got Rs.58.85 crore - nearly seven crore more than what it got in the previous fiscal... total allocation for environmental protection and monitoring too saw a significant hike of Rs.197.53 crore... ” and only in one place it was mentioned that total allocation for MoEF was slashed by whopping 18%, almost a fifth! Was that an intentional piece of misinformation?
Coal, in India, is cessed like any other minerals and petroleum import is levied almost as other imports. It is not a conscious carbon-tax. Were it a carbon-tax in real sense for curbing emission, there would have been converging attempts in related fields. You cannot dissuade fossil fuel usage by one step and then promote that by another and declare you are fighting pollution and etcetera negative-externalities in a Pigouvian way. If a part of the coal-cess money goes to build roadways which by the way have a high life cycle emission footprint, then it is defeating the purpose. If a little petro-duty is imposed just because there is a sharp fall in import price, which makes the ultimate cost per unit still lower than what it was a year or two back, then can it be said that it was done to discourage pollution?
We can assume what can happen if coal price moves up by 1-2% in an economy where increasing burden of energy input price ultimately gets transferred on the shoulders of the consumers. And if there is a tiny increase in efficiency it gets shadowed by exponential total consumption increase. Is it not demagogy if we carry forward our ‘growth’-mania and simultaneously claim we are greening! 
Incidentally, these days, there are some eminent environmentalists who prefer branding things to attract attention without bothering other probable consequences. Some popular labels are ‘Dirty Diesel’, ‘Dirty Coal’ and etc. What will they say when children interpret this as gasoline or petrol is ‘clean energy’, like solar or wind? And we saw what happened to cities with green coloured auto-rickshaws, green coloured buses with so called green-fuel CNG or LPG. Is it ecologically prudent to let them equate a fossil-fuel with the term ‘green’?   
Out of total budget outlay of Rs 17.77 trillion, Environment, Forest & Climate Change got Rs 16.82 billion, i.e. less than 1%. So the government will spend less than a percent for the health of nature. This the government will do just basing on a small ‘fact’ that number of tigers have increased a little bit, so the forests are ok, even if a lot of doubts were cast on the tiger-count procedure. Moreover, India has about 30% less forest cover than it should have at the least. Citizens and industries and the economy as a whole will spend still lower amount, assuming we agree that maintaining some manicured gardens and lawns and planting a few trees in the apartment enclaves do not contribute to nature-care in any substantial way. 

Finally, it is indeed pleasant to hear that government will promote electric cars. But is India ready to handle still higher amount of Lead and other heavy metals that are there in car-batteries? Already number of cars and consequently heavy-metal usage are increasing at a galloping pace. Will just a few more pollution-measuring instruments suffice? 
Published on April 1, 2015, Business Economics 

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